Mwendwa Mbithi vs Nikita Ianin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Which player's second serve performance has been better over the last six months? Mbithi, with a win rate of 43.45% on their second serve points, edges out Ianin, who has won 42.38%.
• When it comes to returning second serves, who has the upper hand? Again, Mbithi leads slightly by winning 43.51% of opponent’s second serve points versus Ianin's 42.98%.
• First serve return stats reveal a 28.27% win rate for Mbithi, compared to 26.23% for Ianin, hinting at a comparative advantage for Mbithi.
• Under pressure, Ianin appears more resilient, saving 57.34% of breakpoints against Mbithi's 51.57%, suggesting Ianin might manage crucial moments better.
• In overall performance over the past year, Mbithi has a slightly better match win percentage at 61.36% against Ianin’s 58.75%.
• Both excel on Hard courts, with Mbithi and Ianin’s win percentages at 58% and 57%, respectively. However, they perform poorly on Indoor Hard surfaces.
• Mbithi largely competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, where he wins 61.36% of matches, compared to Ianin's 58.75% in the same tournament category.
• Notably, Ianin has faced stronger opponents, with an average opponent ranking of 149.75, whereas Mbithi's opponents average a rank of 313.18.
• If the match stretches into a deciding set, Mbithi has won 57% of such sets over the last year, while Ianin has managed 55%.
• On breakpoint conversion, Mbithi's recent form shows a conversion rate of 43.64%, substantially higher than Ianin’s 24.49%, indicating a potential advantage in crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (November 3, 2025, UTC):

When evaluating the key statistics, Mbithi shows a slight edge over Ianin, especially in second serve performance and return stats. These factors have a strong correlation with match outcomes and suggest that Mbithi might have the upper hand.

Although under pressure, Ianin has demonstrated better breakpoint-saving ability, Mbithi's higher breakpoint conversion rate is a significant advantage, particularly if the match becomes tight and opportunities to break serve arise.

While Ianin has played against tougher opponents on average, Mbithi's superior record in deciding sets and slightly higher overall win percentage point towards a greater likelihood of coping well under stress in crucial moments.

Considering all factors, including performance on the preferred hard court surface, Mbithi appears to be the slight favorite to win this encounter against Ianin.